Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.182357 0.204305 0.227187 0.252768 0.280512 0.309634 0.342459
2025-02-02 0.158203 0.188813 0.222232 0.261235 0.305307 0.353366 0.409535
2025-02-09 0.136743 0.172627 0.213417 0.262805 0.320555 0.385523 0.463689
2025-02-16 0.121515 0.161356 0.208298 0.266982 0.337638 0.419223 0.519760
2025-02-23 0.111742 0.155222 0.208097 0.276054 0.359935 0.458931 0.583361
2025-03-02 0.098589 0.143374 0.199598 0.273862 0.367775 0.480959 0.625917
2025-03-09 0.088535 0.134412 0.193731 0.274066 0.377893 0.505379 0.671368
2025-03-16 0.079306 0.125590 0.187178 0.272603 0.385298 0.526097 0.712232
2025-03-23 0.073871 0.121429 0.186322 0.278203 0.401558 0.557948 0.767343
2025-03-30 0.067248 0.114934 0.181713 0.278277 0.410228 0.579986 0.810165
2025-04-06 0.061257 0.108800 0.177092 0.277869 0.417919 0.600606 0.851264
2025-04-13 0.055914 0.103149 0.172703 0.277374 0.425192 0.620553 0.891594
2025-04-20 0.051647 0.098991 0.170454 0.280092 0.437373 0.647888 0.943086
2025-04-27 0.049250 0.097613 0.172205 0.288556 0.457708 0.686542 1.010314
2025-05-04 0.045323 0.093348 0.169251 0.289871 0.467849 0.711480 1.059587
2025-05-11 0.042445 0.090586 0.168402 0.294166 0.482226 0.742378 1.117340
2025-05-18 0.040962 0.090115 0.171090 0.303823 0.504513 0.784557 1.191086
2025-05-25 0.037147 0.085104 0.166120 0.301400 0.508902 0.801710 1.230681
2025-06-01 0.034187 0.081372 0.162977 0.301586 0.517004 0.824084 1.277697
2025-06-08 0.031178 0.077245 0.158881 0.299992 0.522248 0.842338 1.319115
2025-06-15 0.029701 0.075968 0.159550 0.306010 0.539087 0.877418 1.384578
2025-06-22 0.027392 0.072789 0.156689 0.306083 0.546710 0.899206 1.431487
2025-06-29 0.025202 0.069625 0.153635 0.305642 0.553413 0.919654 1.476678